Sports gambling is often very profitable if a person know the tricks the particular “smart money” gamblers employ to consistently make funds. One of the biggest secrets that clever money gamblers use is definitely knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent illustration. We analyzed the Western California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded the fact that West Virginia had typically the edge in the video game. Yet , My partner and i also noticed that there was a great deal of random and unforeseen factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not wager on this specific game. Here is the analysis I released just before the game:

West Virginia or Louisville

This online game features all the symptoms of being one involving the ideal games associated with the year, with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 rated West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both using high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, together with West Virginia coming backside from getting down large in the next fraction to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the action look like this year?

In the event that this video game were turning into played at the fairly neutral field, West Virginia would likely probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented spin. They haven’t lost given that April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they missing to Va Tech. In the last two times they’re 13-5 ATS at the same time. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 ROAD games.

These kind of are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, the included bonus offer is that WVU can be GETTING +1 point. This may not seem to be like significantly, but in a near match-up like this, that special point can make the difference between the push and a loss.

But what about Louisville?

تتل بت are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS into their previous 10 home game titles.

And if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing at your home since December 18, the year 2003! During this present run Louisville is hitting 49. 4 points each game in your house, while hitting only giving up 15. 6 points for every game in home. In case an individual don’t do the figures, that means considering that their very own last home damage they already have averaged beating their very own adversaries simply by about thirty four factors per game.

In addition remarkable, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten often the pass on, on average, by way of 13 things per activity at home considering that the year 2003.

Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

The majority of those stats had been developed during the june 2006 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They are yet to possessed recent games where they already have only scored 36, 3, 24 points. And these video games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. These people ended up against Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St.

The end result is of which this is still a good close match to call up. Although the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s defense to carry the day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can most hold Louisville under thirty points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to this low to middle 20’s. My honest suggestion will be to lay off this specific game and not necessarily guarantee at all. There usually are better video games this weekend break with more clear-cut strengths.

The final score on this game was Louisville 44, West California 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and allowed Lousiville to go back some sort of punt for a good TD. The bottom line was that West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big they may possibly still win immediately after making so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on this particular video game, people significant regarding sports betting saved money they will can put to better work with on upcoming games.