Sports wagering can be extremely profitable if an individual know the secrets this “smart money” gamblers work with to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that wise money gamblers use can be knowing when NOT in order to bet.

Here’s a best example of this. We analyzed the particular Western world California vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that will West California had typically the edge in the sport. Nonetheless I also noticed that there were a good deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they do not wager on this game. Here is the analysis I released ahead of the game:

West Va versus Louisville

This video game provides all the signs of being one connected with the very best games involving the year, together with both equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 placed West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, each together with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, together with Rest of the world Virginia coming backside from being down massive in the independence day one fourth to winning around overtime, however,.

So what’s the adventure look like this year?

If this video game were as played on a natural field, West Virginia would probably be a 4-6 point favorite. Since ufabet168.info is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if can make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented roll. That they haven’t lost considering that March. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. Through the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 ROUTE games.

These are some very remarkable stats that tilt the particular scales in favor regarding WVU intended for tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the additional bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This will likely not look like significantly, but in a near match-up like this, that spare point will make the distinction between a new push plus a loss.

But some of us wonder what about Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are usually almost as good because WVU’s -except when this comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their final 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home video games.

In addition to if you’re leaning in the direction of WVU, here’s a intimidating stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced at home since January 20, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. four points every game in the home, while averaging only giving up 15. 7 points for each game with home. In case a person decided not to do the figures, that means considering that their very own last home loss they’ve averaged beating their own competitors by means of about 34 details per game.

Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten typically the get spread around, on average, by simply 13 points per online game at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s how…

Nearly all of those stats ended up built up during the 2005 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They have already experienced recent games by which they already have only scored twenty eight, 12, 24 points. These types of activities weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. Many people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

The bottom line is the fact that this is still a close video game to phone. Although what I look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the day time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s simply no explanation to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement can be to lay off this game and not wager at all. There are better activities this weekend break with more simple positive aspects.

The final score with this game was Louisville forty four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to return a punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s advantage had not been so big that they could very well still win right after generating so many mistakes. By not betting on this specific sport, people really serious regarding wagering saved money that they can put to better use on forthcoming games.